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LCDHD COVID-19 Public Information Brief 3/19/2021

By Amy Tomlinson
Lake Cumberland District Health Department

Our new cases went up compared to last Friday, so our 7-day average incidence rate went up as well. We now have 5 counties in the "yellow-community-spread" category, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Green, and Russell; and 5 counties in the "orange-accelerated" range of community-spread: Adair, McCreary, Pulaski, Taylor, and Wayne. None of our counties are presently in the "red-critical" range.

We added 182 new cases since last Friday. We also added 182 cases for the 7 matching days prior. So, our new case decline for this week did not continue the trend of dropping as it has the last several weeks. So, for today and last Friday, our 7-day average incidence rate is and was 12.41 new cases per day per 100,000. On the positive, we only experienced 1 death over the last 7 days, and we have 21 hospitalized cases today compared with 24 last Friday. Also, this is the first time in a long-time our area ICU capacity has been less than 80% full.

The fact that our new case rate decline stabilized this week is a concern. While cases are still dropping for the moment in the United States, it should be noted that on the global level, cases have started to rise again. Countries like Brazil, India, France, Italy, and Germany are seeing sharp increases. Therefore, please don't assume that the pandemic is completely behind us and take the vaccine as soon as you can. Also, until the vaccine is widely available, and a significant percentage of the population has taken it, let's all do our part in slowing the spread of COVID-19 by wearing our face coverings, avoiding crowds (especially in confined spaces), social distancing when around others, increasing our hand hygiene, increasing our general sanitation, and by avoiding touching our faces.



Statewide Testing Positivity Rate: 3.4%.

Deaths: We are pleased to report no new deaths today. We have experienced a total of 377 deaths resulting in a 1.8% mortality rate (about 1 in 56) among known cases. This compares with a 1.36% mortality rate at the state level and a 1.36% mortality rate at the national level.

Hospitalizations: We presently have 21 cases in the hospital. This is equal to what we reported yesterday. We have had a total of 1,157 hospitalizations resulting in a 5.52% hospitalization rate (about 1 in 18) among known cases. The state hospitalization rate is 4.79%. The latest data shows that 77.78% of Lake Cumberland's ICU beds are filled, and 19.35% of ventilator capacity is being utilized.

Total (Cumulative) Cases: The Lake Cumberland District has experienced a total of 20,963 cases since the onset of the outbreak. This means that 10.04% of our total population has been a confirmed case. However, we do not know how many additional people may have had COVID-19 and were either asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic and never tested.

Released (Not contagious) Cases: We released 59 cases today from isolation. Released cases include: Adair: 6; Casey: 1; Clinton: 1; Green: 2; McCreary: 4; Pulaski: 26; Russell: 2; Taylor: 12; and, Wayne: 5. In all, we have released 97.3% of our total cases.

Active (Current) Cases: Taking into account deaths and releases, our active cases decreased by 23 more than the new cases we added today. This leaves us with 179 active cases in our district across all 10 of our district's 10 counties. On 12/10/2020 we were at our peak number of active cases, 1,343.

Where Did Cases Visit Prior to Isolation: The most common places cases visited prior to isolation are (in descending order): Businesses, Family, Schools, and Medical Facilities. Of our active cases, 3% can not be tied back to another known case (community-spread cases).

New Cases: We report that our total case count has increased by 36 today: Adair: 6; Casey: 3; Clinton: 1; Green: 1; McCreary: 2; Pulaski: 13; Russell: 5; Taylor: 3; and, Wayne: 2. Our current new case growth rate is: 1.001. This means our total case count is projected to double every 556.28 days. The most new cases we ever added in a single day was on 12/30/2020 when we added 301 cases. Today's new cases include:
  • Adair: A 46-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Adair: A 58-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Adair: A 50-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Adair: A 37-year-old male who is self-isolated, Asymptomatic;
  • Adair: A 21-year-old male who is released, Resolved;
  • Casey: A 5-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Casey: A 3-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Casey: A 67-year-old male who is self-isolated, Asymptomatic;
  • Clinton: A 57-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Clinton: A 31-year-old male who is released, Asymptomatic;
  • Green: A 85-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Green: A 70-year-old female who is self-isolated, Asymptomatic;
  • McCreary: A 53-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • McCreary: A 48-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • McCreary: A 30-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 45-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 61-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 50-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 57-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 57-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 45-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 63-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 66-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 18-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 14-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 55-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 72-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 27-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 39-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 11-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 19-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Taylor: A 65-year-old male who is released, Resolved;
  • Taylor: A 64-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Taylor: A 58-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Taylor: A 51-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 17-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
A close look at today's data may appear that several of our county's numbers are off today. That is because we moved cases from Taylor to Pulaski, Taylor to Adair, McCreary to Pulaski, Green to Taylor, and from Clinton to Wayne. This is part of our routine review and sanitization of our data.

https://www.lcdhd.org/info-tools/health-assessments-and-statistics/health_report_card/covid19-state-wide-outbreak-2/covid-19-media-public/daily-brief


This story was posted on 2021-03-20 06:14:17
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