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COVID-19 update: 8 die in 10 counties Friday

Amy Tomlinson, Lake Cumberland District Health Department

As of Friday evening, December 18, 2020, Statewide Testing Positivity Rate: 8.59%. We are sad to report 8 new deaths today. Our hearts and prayers go out to all the families and friends who have lost loved ones.

The 10-county Lake Cumberland District Health District has experienced a total of 207 deaths resulting in a 1.73% mortality rate (about 1 in 58) among known cases. This compares with a 0.99% mortality rate at the state level, and a 1.8% mortality rate at the national level.

Hospitalizations: We presently have 83 cases* in the hospital. This is 23 less than what we reported yesterday. We have had a total of 707 hospitalizations resulting in a 5.92% hospitalization rate (about 1 in 17) among known cases. The state hospitalization rate is 5.14%. The latest data shows that 97.8% of Lake Cumberlandís ICU beds are filled, and 28.8% of ventilator capacity is being utilized. (*This number is an estimation. Due to the high numbers, we only check with the hospitals on Fridays now. Therefore, the best time to see the most accurate hospital data will be in the Saturday News Brief.)

Total (Cumulative) Cases: The Lake Cumberland District has experienced a total of 11,942 cases since the onset of the outbreak. This means that 5.72% of our total population have been a confirmed case. However, we do not know how many additional people may have had COVID-19 and were either asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic and never tested.

Released (Not contagious) Cases: We released 261 cases today from isolation. Released cases include: Adair: 15; Casey: 12; Clinton: 5; Cumberland: 7; Green: 6; McCreary: 16; Pulaski: 139; Russell: 17; Taylor: 20; and, Wayne: 24. In all, we have released 88.2% of our total cases.

Active (Current) Cases: Taking into account deaths and releases, our active cases decreased by 110 more than the new cases we added today. This leaves us with 1200 active cases in our district across all 10 of our districtís 10 counties. On 12/10/2020 we were at our peak number of active cases, 1335.

Where Did Cases Visit Prior to Isolation: The most common places cases visited prior to isolation are (in descending order): Businesses, Family, Long-term Care/Residential Facilities, and Schools. Of our active cases, 7% can not be tied back to another known case (community-spread cases).

New Cases: We report that our total case count has increased by 159 today: Adair: 9; Casey: 7; Clinton: 18; Cumberland: 1; Green: 5; McCreary: 34; Pulaski: 44; Russell: 12; Taylor: 12; and, Wayne: 17. Our current new case growth rate is: 1.016. This means our total case count is projected to double every 44.44 days. The most new cases we ever added in a single day was on 12/17/2020 when we added 292 cases.

The deaths we report today are: an 81-year-old male long-term care resident in Adair who had been hospitalized; a 54-year-old male from Clinton who had been released from public health observation as no longer contagious but later succumbed to lasting complications from the illness; an 81-year-old female from McCreery who had been hospitalized; an 82-year-old male from Pulaski who had been hospitalized; a 91-year-old female long-term care resident from Pulaski; a 70-year-old female from Russell who had been hospitalized; and, a 70-year-old male from Russell who had been hospitalized. Vaccine planning efforts continue in every county. We are still hearing vaccine will begin to arrive in our district next week. The first shipments will be few in quantity and will be reserved for health care workers. The federal government has contracted with Walgreens and CVS Pharmacies to vaccinate long-term care facilities, staff and residents. We understand confirmation of this arrangement has been made at all area facilities and that dates to start vaccinating are being planned. Of course, all of this is contingent upon the vaccine actually arriving.

Until the vaccine is widely available, letís all do our part in slowing the spread of COVID-19 by wearing our face coverings, avoiding crowds (especially in confined spaces), social distancing when around others, increasing our hand hygiene, increasing our general sanitation, and by avoiding the touching of our faces.

The Lake Cumberland area has experienced 11,942 cumulative confirmed cases and there have been 238,244 confirmed COVID-19 cases across all 120 Kentucky Counties as of today (this includes 237,190 statewide plus 1,054 recently reported cases in Lake Cumberland not in the Governorís/Department for Public Healthís daily report). Regardless of the confirmed case count for any Lake Cumberland County, we believe COVID-19 to be widespread. The LCDHD is working tirelessly, including nights and weekends, to identify and contact all those with whom any positive case may have come into close contact, and to follow-up daily with positive cases. Additionally, we are striving diligently to follow-up on business-related complaints regarding noncompliance with the Governorís Executive Orders. We are also working with any community partner that requests assistance for prevention or post-exposure planning/response.

This story was posted on 2020-12-19 06:05:14
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COVID-19 update by the numbers

2020-12-19 - Russell County, KY - Photo from LCDHD daily report.
This chart shows our ten counties by the numbers of Coronavirus active cases, hospitalizations, self isolations, deaths and totals in the Lake Cumberland Health District. It does not track Metcalfe County, the other of Adair's surrounding counties, which is in the Barren River Health District and has been showing numbers closer to those in Cumberland County.

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