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LCDHD: 7-day incidence rate is going down

LCDHD COVID-19 Public Information Brief 12/15/2020

By Amy Tomlinson
Lake Cumberland District Health Department

While our deaths and hospitalizations remain high, these trends follow on about a 2 to 3-week delay behind new case surges. On the positive, this is our third day of fewer cases than the equivalent day of the previous week.

For the first time in a very long time, the 7-day incidence rate is going down in most of our counties. This is not a time to let up, though. If we are at the beginning of a decline, lets all make sure we do our part in not letting this thing get away from us again.

So, please, let's all do our part in slowing the spread of COVID-19 by wearing our face coverings, avoiding crowds (especially in confined spaces), social distancing when around others, increasing our hand hygiene, increasing our general sanitation, and by avoiding the touching of our faces.



Statewide Testing Positivity Rate: 8.53%.

Deaths: We regret we must report 9 new deaths today. We have experienced a total of 189 deaths resulting in a 1.68% mortality rate (about 1 in 60) among known cases. This compares with a 0.98% mortality rate at the state level, and a 1.82% mortality rate at the national level. Our hearts and prayers go out to all the families and friends who have lost loved ones.

Hospitalizations: We presently have 89 cases* in the hospital. This is 1 less than what we reported yesterday. We have had a total of 677 hospitalizations resulting in a 6.01% hospitalization rate (about 1 in 17) among known cases. The state hospitalization rate is 5.09%. The latest data shows that 93.5% of Lake Cumberland's ICU beds are filled, and 31% of ventilator capicity is being utilized. (*This number is an estimation. Due to the high numbers, we only check with the hospitals on Fridays now. Therefore, the best time to see the most accurate hospital data will be in the Saturday News Brief.)

Total (Cumulative) Cases: The Lake Cumberland District has experienced a total of 11,260 cases since the onset of the outbreak. This means that 5.39% of our total population have been a confirmed case. However, we do not know how many additional people may have had COVID-19 and were either asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic and never tested.

Released (Not contagious) Cases: We released 180 cases today from isolation. Released cases include: Adair: 9; Casey: 12; Clinton: 14; Cumberland: 3; Green: 5; McCreary: 21; Pulaski: 50; Russell: 18; Taylor: 15; and, Wayne: 33. In all, we have released 87.9% of our total cases.

Active (Current) Cases: Taking into account deaths and releases, our active cases decreased by 67 more than the new cases we added today. This leaves us with 1169 active cases in our district across all 10 of our district's 10 counties. On 12/10/2020 we were at our peak number of active cases, 1335.

Where Did Cases Visit Prior to Isolation: The most common places cases visited prior to isolation are (in descending order): Businesses, Family, Long-term Care/Residential Facilities, and Medical Facilities. Of our active cases, 7% can not be tied back to another known case (community-spread cases).

New Cases: We report that our total case count has increased by 122 today: Adair: 6; Casey: 1; Clinton: 8; Cumberland: 5; Green: 6; McCreary: 5; Pulaski: 43; Russell: 11; Taylor: 7; and, Wayne: 30. Our current new case growth rate is: 1.017. This means our total case count is projected to double every 42.3 days. The most new cases we ever added in a single day was on 12/02/2020 when we added 288 cases. Today's new cases include:
  • Adair: A 54-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Adair: A 30-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Adair: A 26-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Adair: A 31-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Adair: A 22-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Adair: A 11-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Casey: A 23-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Clinton: A 10-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Clinton: A 46-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Clinton: A 28-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Clinton: A 45-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Clinton: A 30-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Clinton: A 29-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Clinton: A 50-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Clinton: A 50-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Cumberland: A 25-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Cumberland: A 15-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Cumberland: A 43-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Cumberland: A 54-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Cumberland: A 65-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Green: A 71-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Green: A 40-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Green: A 60-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Green: A 55-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Green: A 19-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Green: A 22-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • McCreary: A 46-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • McCreary: A 15-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • McCreary: A 64-year-old male who is hospitalized, still symptomatic;
  • McCreary: A 27-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • McCreary: A 23-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 17-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 42-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 31-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 70-year-old male who is hospitalized, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 4m-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 75-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 51-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 60-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 3-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 19-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 72-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 48-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 67-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 23-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 62-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 13-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 78-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 46-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 1-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 24-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 18-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 42-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 61-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 34-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 48-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 58-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 60-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 41-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 50-year-old female who is released, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 60-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 47-year-old male who is self-isolated, Asymptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 68-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 44-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 12-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 54-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 47-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 33-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 59-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 48-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 51-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 42-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 61-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Pulaski: A 50-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 58-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 42-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 46-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 47-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 32-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 15-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 65-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 8-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 5-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 51-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Russell: A 40-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Taylor: A 93-year-old male who is self-isolated, Asymptomatic;
  • Taylor: A 32-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Taylor: A 55-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Taylor: A 36-year-old female who is released, 12/14/20;
  • Taylor: A 2-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Taylor: A 35-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Taylor: A 52-year-old female who is self-isolated, unknown;
  • Wayne: A 16-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 77-year-old male who is released, 12/13/20;
  • Wayne: A 61-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 59-year-old female who is self-isolated, Asymptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 79-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 29-year-old male who is self-isolated, Asymptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 24-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 27-year-old female who is self-isolated, unknown;
  • Wayne: A 26-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 65-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 74-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 61-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 55-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 25-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 66-year-old female who is self-isolated, 12/14/20;
  • Wayne: A 11-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 72-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 3-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 35-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 74-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 1-year-old male who is self-isolated, Asymptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 67-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 40-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 51-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 24-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 3 weeks-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 18-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic;
  • Wayne: A 82-year-old male who is deceased, expired ;
  • Wayne: A 50-year-old female who is deceased, expired ;
  • Wayne: A 75-year-old male who is deceased, expired ;
We are sad to have to report 9 new deaths. The deaths include a 78-year-old male from Pulaski who had been hospitalized; an 83-year-old female long-term care resident from Pulaski who had been hospitalized; a 79-year-old female from Pulaski who had been hospitalized; a 58-year-old female from Taylor who had been hospitalized who had been released from public health observation as being no longer contagious, but later succumbed to lasting complications from the illness; a 61-year-old male from Taylor who had been hospitalized; an 86-year-old female from Taylor who lived in assisted living; a 75-year-old male from Wayne who had been hospitalized; an 82-year-old male from Wayne who had been hospitalized; and a 50-year-old female from Wayne who had been hospitalized.

The Lake Cumberland area has experienced 11,260 cumulative confirmed cases and there have been 229,249 confirmed COVID-19 cases across all 120 Kentucky Counties as of today (this includes 227,818 statewide plus 1,431 recently reported cases in Lake Cumberland not in the Governor's/Department for Public Health's daily report). Regardless of the confirmed case count for any Lake Cumberland County, we believe COVID-19 to be widespread. The LCDHD is working tirelessly, including nights and weekends, to identify and contact all those with whom any positive case may have come into close contact, and to follow-up daily with positive cases. Additionally, we are striving diligently to follow-up on business-related complaints regarding noncompliance with the Governor's Executive Orders. We are also working with any community partner that requests assistance for prevention or post-exposure planning/response.


This story was posted on 2020-12-16 06:09:47
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LCDHD Daily COVID-19 Case Summary for Dec 15, 2020



2020-12-16 - Somerset, KY - Photo courtesy Lake Cumberland District Health Department.
The numbers for Tuesday, December 15, 2020, show 96 active cases, with 1,186 total cases reported for Adair County so far in 2020.

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