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LCDHD COVID-19 Public Information Brief 10/30/2020
By Amy Tomlinson
Lake Cumberland District Health Department
Unfortunately, with our recent large spike in new cases comes increases in hospitalizations. We just broke our previous high (39) and presently have 41 of our positive COVID-19 patients in the hospital. We are also at our highest level of active cases at 585.
Finally, 8 of our ten counties are now in the "red-critical" range: Adair, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Green, Russell, Taylor, and Wayne. The other 2 are in the "orange-accelerated" range of community-spread, McCreary, and Pulaski.
Friends, these are very alarming local numbers. Please, let's all continue to do our part in slowing the spread of COVID-19 by wearing our face coverings, avoiding crowds (especially in confined spaces), social distancing when around others, increasing our hand hygiene, increasing our general sanitation, and by avoiding the touching of our faces.
New Cases: We report that our total case count has increased by 75 today: Adair: 11; Casey: 14; Clinton: 4; Cumberland: 5; Green: 6; McCreary: 1; Pulaski: 8; Russell: 4; Taylor: 14; and, Wayne: 8. Our current new case growth rate is: 1.016. This means our total case count is projected to double every 44.49 days. The most new cases we ever added in a single day was on 10/28/2020 when we added 91 cases. Today's new cases include:
Where are cases spreading: The most common areas where we are seeing cases tied are (in descending order): Schools, Businesses, Family, and Places of Worship.
A close look at the numbers may appear that we are off by 1 today. This happened because a Clinton case that wasn't entered correctly yesterday was corrected today.
Deaths: We are pleased to report no new deaths today. We have experienced a total of 81 deaths resulting in a 1.83% mortality rate (about 1 in 55) among known cases. This compares with a 1.4% mortality rate at the state level, and a 2.54% morality rate at the national level.
Hospitalizations: We presently have 41 cases in the hospital. This is 9 more than yesterday. The most hospitalizations we have had at any one time was 41 on 10/30/2020. We have had a total of 344 hospitalizations resulting in a 7.75% hospitalization rate (about 1 in 13) among known cases. The state hospitalization rate is 6.74%. The latest state data shows that 68.88% of ICU beds and 29.32% of ventilator capacity are being utilized.
Total (Cumulative) Cases: The Lake Cumberland District has experienced a total of 4,436 cases since the onset of the outbreak. This means that 2.12% of our total population have been a confirmed case. However, we do not know how many additional people may have had COVID-19 and were either asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic and never tested.
Released (Not contagious) Cases: We released 59 cases today from isolation. Released cases include: Adair: 11; Casey: 4; Clinton: 5; Cumberland: 2; Green: 2; McCreary: 3; Pulaski: 6; Russell: 4; Taylor: 14; and, Wayne: 8. In all, we have released 85% of our total cases.
Active (Current) Cases: We added 16 more cases today than we released historic cases. Taking all things into account, this leaves us with 585 active cases in our district across all 10 of our district's 10 counties. On 10/30/2020 we were at our peak number of active cases, 585.
The Lake Cumberland area has experienced 4,436 cumulative confirmed cases and there have been 105,606 confirmed COVID-19 cases across all 120 Kentucky Counties as of today (this includes 105,242 statewide plus 364 recently reported cases in Lake Cumberland not in the Governor's/Department for Public Health's daily report). Regardless of the confirmed case count for any Lake Cumberland County, we believe COVID-19 to be widespread. The LCDHD is working tirelessly, including nights and weekends, to identify and contact all those with whom any positive case may have come into close contact, and to follow-up daily with positive cases. Additionally, we are striving diligently to follow-up on business-related complaints regarding noncompliance with the Governor's Executive Orders. We are also working with any community partner that requests assistance for prevention or post-exposure planning/response.
This story was posted on 2020-10-31 07:05:49
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